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December 15, 2022
The US Dollar struggled to gain more on Wednesday after a sharp dive and cooler inflation data. It is stated that a moderate rate hike path later in the day. The US Central Bank is also said to have other plans to swap the economy and gain the greenback.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback versus six major currencies, should be down 0.067% overnight. This happened unexpectedly because the Fed's goal was to bring the US Dollar to a better value while maintaining a strict and structured basis point policy.
However, US consumer prices have been successfully maintained and barely rose in November as the cost of gasoline, used cars, and more declined. The most aggressive FEDs set of interest rate hikes in 40 years may finally start working correctly.
According to the Labor Department, the consumer price index increased just one-tenth of one percent last month. The CPI rose 7.1%, a minor advance in nearly a year. Reports also came from US Central Bankers who started holding policy-setting meetings.
"I think what this means is that the FED can be more comfortable in terms of making interest rates slow down. That also means, at tomorrow's FED meeting, it is broadly expected they will make 50 basis points," said Alex Pelle, US Economist at Mizuho USA.
"That also means going forward into 2023, and they are much more likely to make adjustments at the policy rate of 25 basis point increments. That way, they can see if this positive trend in inflation continues," he continued.
Slowing inflation and prospects of smaller rate hikes by the FED also increased the hope that the economy could avoid an anticipated recession next year or suffer a mild downturn. But, some economists say that this is not a good time.
If the US inflation rate drops after setting its highest level in 40 years, it is too soon to be declared. The problem is that the data is driven by a combination of solid demand and a shortage of people looking for work, and that's bad.
The Fed has indeed recorded some success, but the Fed and economists still have to focus on economic developments. Central banks are also expected to raise interest rates again on Wednesday, which will also help pull down rents with the strained household budget.
Consumer inflation data which slowed to 7.1% in November, stripped out many things. The prices for goods and gas were the ones that declined the most. But in other sectors, movement is also moderate, and people are making p for pre-pandemic prices.
At the same time, the Fed will bring a new interest rate too, and until those, these consumers are willing to absorb but have not always passed those savings. The consumer now withstands those prices, but it is believed that it will not last long, even though it is on the right path.
News about the US economy is also discussing Biden, who was forced to improve his country's economic conditions. He said that things were getting better. The economy is also heading in the right direction because of the inflation rate falls.
Apart from that, Biden is now saying that this positive economic news is not over. Therefore, Biden seeks a political boost to overcome this problem. He said that "inflation is coming down in America" and expressed optimism ahead of the holiday season.
Some concerns still point to stability in the US economic sector. Many are worried that this declining inflation will only last for a while. Biden will also seek assistance in the political industry to increase stability and promote stable growth.
Salma Team
Category News: Market News
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