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November 11, 2022
The Federal Reserve is seen slowing the pace of its rate hikes after the government report that consumer prices are rising less than the last month expected. This aggressive policy from the central bank is accompanied by a more stable delivery basis point.
The FED is said to be shifting to quarter-point hikes in January with a policy of 4.75% to 5% range by March. Reports from traders also with headline inflation below 8%. Compared to last month, there are still price increases in several sectors.
"The hikes in interest rate started to bite into the economy and lower inflation, which became more frugal. With the existing range, the policy rate and benchmark rate show that traders are tightening policy to slow starting next month," says the FED official.
The FED also said that interest rates go higher to fight inflation and prompt markets to price in rate hikes in the spring. Traders now see the FED starting to cut rates shortly, and markets to price in rate hikes and FED cut rates.
The cost of living rose by a relatively modest 0.4% in October, a sign that the US is easing price pressure. The most significant surge in inflation this month shows another positive sign. A huge boost then makes interest-rate hikes slowing the economy, and it peaked.
In addition, another positive sign is the core rate of inflation, which is claimed to be around 0.3%. Wall Street also indicates that the US Inflation forecast could grow to make food and energy prices increase by 0.5%, and this is claimed to be an accurate measure.
This is a positive sign that inflationary pressures are starting to come off the build. It is only a minor slowdown in year-on0year inflation, and it is necessary before the FED. The tightening cycle also gives a yield on the 10-year treasure, which is recorded to sink below 4% shortly.
Inflation was also recorded to have stayed high, and the basics for food and rent also depended on consumer prices. The risk of forcing a recession also makes the public face rising costs for basics, and the report moves to encourage data to get a sense of the economy.
"This is excellent news, and I won't change my view on just one point. False draws can happen, but on average, the increase in the last 12 months is the progress to look forward to. But just not much better, said Jason Furman, an economist at Harvard.
October marked the smallest 12-moth increase with the period in January. Pockets of the economy with various reports provide small ease this month. But overall, the US economy is claimed to have experienced an increase of 7.5% over the year.
Wall Street indicates that the US dollar has fallen, the US inflation rate has dropped to 7.7%, and that is the first hammered optimism. The economic outlook with people who remain very gloomy.
So the FED is believed to be tempering its aggressive programming of a rate increase, and inflation data comes in cooler. In addition, the currency market makes the rate more sensitive, and the FED is believed to be raising the rate aggressively.
Therefore, this trend should be considered moderate because it will see US Treasuries and shares sell off sharply, and it is not a move that will lead to bankruptcy.
The latest consumer confidence report shows that the mini budget soon leads to no longer gloomy finances. The economic outlook then leads to the prediction of the FED, which is believed to be slowing their interest rate because the USD leads to a positive trend.
Salma Team
Category News: Market News
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